Champions League · resolved market
Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e2fab287f7269e781fa2e1afab6706863dafd9b5d9341152367443d73b62628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 56c | 1,736$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.68 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 23c | 1,271$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 55c | 1,075$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.35 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 31c | 1,032$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.55 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 44c | 783.49$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.22 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 43c | 729.19$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 56c | 580.06$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 56c | 569.76$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 68c | 551.7$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 61c | 507.09$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.53 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 45c | 440.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 43c | 425.58$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 30c | 331.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 56c | 299.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 290$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 66c | 282.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 38c | 277.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 24c | 276$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 250.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 164.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 55c | 132.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 74c | 123.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 57c | 116.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed No | 53c | 97.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 65c | 91.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 57c | 79.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +105%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 58.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 19c | 57.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 49.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…e752backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes | 39c | 36.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Yes | 43c | 35.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…ebb9backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…0c04backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?this page
- Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-27?Yes won
- Will Qarabag vs. Ferencvaros end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.