Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3ffdf4e80382921373c3fdd2f7a941dd3e61b8e625d30fa33f20e6ed43dd49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $986,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,172,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 28c | 155,606$43,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,581.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 152,672$109,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,005.73 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…73a4backed Yes | 72c | 85,072$61,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,056.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 28c | 69,990$19,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,597.18 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 57,545$16,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,261.63 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 71c | 35,338$25,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,212.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 71c | 30,500$21,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 29c | 25,516$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 25,363$18,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,226.96 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 29c | 20,960$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,990.15 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 72c | 19,999$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.83 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 28c | 17,725$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.98 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked No | 29c | 17,400$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 29c | 17,300$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 14,200$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.96 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 13,897$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 29c | 12,146$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.34 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 28c | 12,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.96 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 29c | 10,986$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.03 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 66c | 10,800$7,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…a4debacked No | 29c | 10,022$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 29c | 9,907$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 29c | 9,897$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.13 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 29c | 8,602$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…29cabacked No | 29c | 8,445$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 29c | 6,625$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 71c | 5,971$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 71c | 5,614$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 29c | 5,179$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…db69backed Yes | 72c | 5,120$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 72c | 4,857$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 71c | 4,510$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.86 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 4,483$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.94 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes | 72c | 4,106$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.56 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 71c | 4,018$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 73c | 3,775$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 71c | 3,673$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.1 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 67c | 3,653$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.85 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 29c | 3,539$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.13 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 73c | 3,427$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 32c | 3,321$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.2 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 72c | 3,209$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c0…1634backed Yes | 71c | 3,156$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…f383backed No | 29c | 2,673$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 2,666$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.02 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…48b6backed No | 29c | 2,661$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…7106backed No | 29c | 2,372$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ab…dfc2backed No | 29c | 2,277$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa030…c3e4backed No | 29c | 2,202$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 28c | 2,201$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df4…1989backed Yes | 71c | 2,121$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 29c | 2,085$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aba…8262backed Yes | 71c | 2,075$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 78c | 2,060$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.16 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…4b0dbacked No | 29c | 2,051$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…0be7backed No | 29c | 2,044$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…84bdbacked No | 29c | 2,035$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 68c | 2,023$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.88 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 72c | 1,976$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…abd5backed No | 29c | 1,953$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…a49abacked No | 29c | 1,949$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…f3fbbacked No | 29c | 1,945$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,940$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 76c | 1,934$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.32 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 30c | 1,930$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.08 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Yes | 70c | 1,900$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…8837backed No | 29c | 1,884$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 72c | 1,800$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…d2aebacked Yes | 71c | 1,796$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c7…0e6bbacked No | 29c | 1,776$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53d…72a9backed No | 29c | 1,768$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 71c | 1,764$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 1,741$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.56 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 72c | 1,732$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…5520backed No | 29c | 1,723$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 1,700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…0817backed Yes | 71c | 1,650$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…a4b9backed No | 29c | 1,649$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5332…5294backed No | 29c | 1,646$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 29c | 1,630$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…d996backed Yes | 71c | 1,585$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…ecd3backed Yes | 71c | 1,510$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 69c | 1,420$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.29 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 1,356$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.22 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e38…d21ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,355$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…b218backed Yes | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…b4f8backed Yes | 72c | 1,286$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.