Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19cbb091e7604d064c8aa3a5c865108db7090b8418d77a161d4af3a0e5e620c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 7,966$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.89 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 7,777$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.7 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Yes | 10c | 5,377$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 2,772$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Yes | 10c | 2,219$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Yes | 10c | 1,793$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 9c | 1,553$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 2c | 1,153$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,118$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 9c | 999.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 2c | 899.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…1909backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 3c | 354$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 5c | 322.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 6c | 316.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Yes | 10c | 299$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 10c | 173$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 11c | 168$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 9c | 166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 11c | 102.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Yes | 11c | 93.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.