TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3c9…3a79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$131.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.65
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.33
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.39
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.7
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$393.21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+71.7%+$92.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$314.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$139.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$320.83
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$275.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$751
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250.37
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$194.21
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+169.8%+$98.67
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$78.31
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$247.26
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+257.1%+$257.14
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$243.33
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$243.54
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96.92
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$101.66
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.95
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$69.62
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+79.1%+$791.02
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$636.36
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$618.85
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$706.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$484.95
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$246.27
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.11
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.41
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$217.6
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$209.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$300.72
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.54
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$492.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$342.16
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.