Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaefb1932437cd3f7ece0d9501f33e884793332797e4028db51aa3c3301f9013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $596,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $596,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 44c | 149,959$66,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,016.38 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 56,519$19,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,693.86 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 40,763$22,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,974.57 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 1c | 29,257$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.57 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 27,060$15,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,930.75 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 56c | 25,000$13,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,088.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 27c | 18,755$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,082.87 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 56c | 18,096$10,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,962.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 17,391$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.07 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 56c | 15,000$8,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 56c | 12,816$7,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 56c | 12,735$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 44c | 12,131$5,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Yes | 56c | 11,161$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 10,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 45c | 9,487$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 55c | 8,721$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 8,624$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.02 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 45c | 4,002$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 62c | 3,410$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.9 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 2,908$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.32 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 56c | 2,564$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 12c | 2,301$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 45c | 2,075$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 79c | 2,045$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.94 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 56c | 1,963$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,854$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.57 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 45c | 1,830$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 55c | 1,805$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 56c | 1,791$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.02 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda3c…4a2ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 46c | 1,736$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yes | 70c | 1,735$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 1,690$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.52 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 55c | 1,642$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.9 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 11c | 1,592$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…0610backed Yes | 56c | 1,584$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 67c | 1,497$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 56c | 1,196$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.43 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 56c | 1,126$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 1,097$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.23 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 1,094$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.35 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 20c | 1,067$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 44c | 999.9$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.96 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 55c | 994.25$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.41 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 53c | 966.04$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 56c | 894.17$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 45c | 819$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.55 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 45c | 771.61$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.81 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 56c | 758.19$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 56c | 742.86$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.86 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 56c | 678.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 677.65$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed Yes | 57c | 646.11$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 45c | 623.7$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.11 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 45c | 506.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 56c | 502.38$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.04 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…0245backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 493$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Yes | 56c | 484.45$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…8c0bbacked Yes | 77c | 480.52$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 9c | 479.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Yes | 56c | 476.25$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes | 76c | 470$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…880fbacked Yes | 77c | 468.53$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 57c | 468.42$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 16c | 465.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 12c | 459.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6a…7305backed Yes | 56c | 458.93$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 64c | 442.91$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 17c | 434.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?this page
- Will US Lecce vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.