TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No73c40,285$29,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,879.824658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c30,308$6,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,923.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes29c12,806$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7102035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No71c6,516$4,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.686437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c4,163$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.1827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c3,276$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.765933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No72c2,500$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed No73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c1,909$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.3668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes4c1,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes23c1,278$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c1,224$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c1,118$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c917$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes27c871.75$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.378463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No73c789.73$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.731668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No72c659.61$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3c…4a2ebacked Yes19c589.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes28c540$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.26266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4414…9474backed Yes29c520.38$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590b…7fd6backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c357.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.491,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.59456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No72c312.71$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes12c310$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8720431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…6804backed Yes20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No73c293.15$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.15966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No72c277.07$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5816448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Yes20c266.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.932326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes7c264.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6517529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes19c263.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…6b5cbacked Yes26c249.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c235.86$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.089556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c185.49$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6643058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes13c181$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.342630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No72c165.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.473773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes17c134$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7820741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes28c129.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c121$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8826046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe89…d978backed Yes29c119.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.534257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c110.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6812929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c110.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes11c108.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4415045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes11c105$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.428445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d052backed Yes22c96.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5333…6f62backed No73c95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe709…bcc6backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde57…74a9backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes28c82.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No72c77.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c76.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5623353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15b6…c855backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2114549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1d06backed Yes19c67.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No78c66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No74c58.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No72c57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7918858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5468…8a4abacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…ccd8backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0090…802ebacked Yes28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.253060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes29c35.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.269754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked No69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed No73c25.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.931764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No71c25.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1917955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.