Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3f5645772cc2e64b5524faf82bd9752aa81020dd52fbbb7ad6c4033fd746ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 17,324$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 4c | 8,119$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 6,130$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.89 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,915$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 17c | 2,574$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…2009backed Yes | 5c | 1,653$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3c…4a2ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,610$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,190$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 17c | 1,086$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.57 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 979.11$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 6c | 825.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 821.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 17c | 739.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Yes | 16c | 703.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 17c | 657.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bab…af65backed Yes | 3c | 643.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 18c | 625.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 570$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 4c | 515.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 17c | 497.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 396.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed Yes | 12c | 373.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Yes | 5c | 363.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 3c | 361$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yes | 18c | 353.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 318$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 16c | 316.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 3c | 312.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 17c | 299.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…1df1backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…7b6dbacked Yes | 10c | 269.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 17c | 258.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 7c | 249.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1d06backed Yes | 7c | 249.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 17c | 247$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…b078backed Yes | 18c | 243.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 13c | 220$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…4ce1backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 17c | 199.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…a993backed Yes | 5c | 195$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 6c | 190.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 17c | 159.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 17c | 136.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…5d99backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 16c | 105.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 84.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-06?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?Yes won
- Will US Lecce vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.