TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$636,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$767,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No19c129,845$24,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,102.14,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed Yes63c60,000$37,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,199.96875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+75.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No33c51,005$16,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,841.719028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes63c47,277$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,277.16566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No34c45,564$15,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,275.959748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c12,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0807922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No35c11,500$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.9613845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c11,249$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,142.251,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes65c9,999$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.766240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.82748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9801,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c5,283$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.1290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes67c3,731$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.341338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a59…ef00backed Yes53c3,551$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No36c3,112$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.4410438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes67c3,004$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.328243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9905742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4703053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9903537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked No34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.842334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Yes50c2,900$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No37c2,702$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0610245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes67c2,687$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.5710250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes58c2,388$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.931250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c2,362$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8803,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No34c2,282$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.346023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.765651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c2,245$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.3150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No34c2,241$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.897448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No33c2,091$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.154740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6606645.5%30 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No34c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f3…642dbacked Yes66c1,833$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes66c1,785$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes57c1,762$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No33c1,703$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.642,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c1,618$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.57321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No50c1,601$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.43345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5091…db41backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.52661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes73c1,521$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9738729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.544540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6211…513bbacked Yes67c1,480$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.27560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.595658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No37c1,431$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.513345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes66c1,364$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.647468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes51c1,348$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.935646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Yes50c1,288$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No33c1,223$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5823452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked No33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes67c1,080$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes63c1,001$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.3714244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3404156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302050%10 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c978.71$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.3755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea8…4e59backed No33c900$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No34c853.82$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.33043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No33c761.72$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.379055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2715446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes51c746.12$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.67241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No43c727.93$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.014753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Yes67c702.1$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Yes66c684.89$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No37c656$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.723218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes54c629$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed No28c626.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.481540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes80c611.75$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3561032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.014946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked No34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Yes67c586.87$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No34c581.36$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.882065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes67c547.79$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0220452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes67c539.02$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.032060%12 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes66c512.82$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…ebbabacked Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.765453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes66c429.62$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.071850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes50c417.44$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7213750.4%69 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad1f…310abacked Yes67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No40c398.91$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.482941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes67c388.06$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.063259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.363525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes67c369.85$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0516250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No3c365.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23345.9%2 W · 32 L-8.0wins-0.24per pick29cpaid-89.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd53a…3d5abacked Yes62c354.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f0…6deebacked Yes67c328.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.361758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No37c317.46$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4617252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.