La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e8dd5f63b74dc14369e8b1b5e09b552559198f0db94bfe83a2b941d552e991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 12c | 26,190$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 13c | 4,256$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.42 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 11c | 2,355$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.06 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 12c | 1,975$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 13c | 1,874$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 12c | 1,800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 1,588$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.53 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 14c | 1,391$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +400%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 12c | 999.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Yes | 13c | 999.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes | 11c | 762.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 12c | 616.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 12c | 512.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 12c | 373.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 4c | 311.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 298$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 14c | 257.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Yes | 15c | 233.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 12c | 206.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…7d74backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 12c | 166.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 12c | 155.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 16c | 108.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 13c | 102.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 12c | 101.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 13c | 89.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.