La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1ea6094e65b305517040b6b4877433e01eace9ef102ba2629066421c98643b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 14,565$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.46 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 77c | 4,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 78c | 3,795$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,824$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.53 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 79c | 2,503$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 69c | 2,378$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.06 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 1,743$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.68 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 1,462$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 78c | 1,426$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 1,059$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.98 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 78c | 871.24$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.85 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 22c | 799.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 21c | 653.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 440$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 324.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 78c | 319.36$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 302$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 79c | 278.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 23c | 265.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed No | 78c | 222.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 78c | 184.64$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 78c | 144$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Yes | 23c | 134.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Yes | 24c | 102.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 18c | 102.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 22c | 99.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 22c | 79.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 79c | 77.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 22c | 64.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Yes | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 77c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 78c | 23.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 79c | 12.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.