TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7f4…6ead

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: IPO, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 52 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT8932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Málaga CF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$41
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$51.19
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.46
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.9
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+208%+$22.01
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+300%+$45
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+130%+$305.58
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+64.9%+$142.79
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.2%+$267.29
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$190
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.99
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+273.9%+$54.79
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.36
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$33.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$9.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$58.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-78.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$8.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.