Earnings · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4116364a30edf0db220553d5f4032b32f05d42b6d64e1bacaa0c065bb4146015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked No | 8c | 51,382$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 5c | 49,444$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.38 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed No | 8c | 10,004$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 7,045$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…a32dbacked No | 8c | 5,822$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 3c | 5,169$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…74f1backed No | 8c | 4,636$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 6c | 4,607$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked No | 8c | 4,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 3c | 4,250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 4,118$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.56 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…c79bbacked No | 10c | 4,008$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 5c | 3,750$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 6c | 3,737$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…92e0backed No | 5c | 3,479$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…92efbacked No | 7c | 3,306$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 5c | 3,230$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…3c54backed No | 11c | 3,194$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b7…3029backed No | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…7b79backed No | 4c | 2,675$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…db74backed No | 6c | 2,596$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…22f6backed No | 8c | 2,594$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 7c | 2,400$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…7349backed No | 6c | 2,349$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b2…9e5abacked No | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 5c | 2,213$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f5…f692backed No | 6c | 2,099$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…23edbacked No | 10c | 2,041$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…b502backed No | 10c | 1,990$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…fa0fbacked No | 7c | 1,780$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked No | 9c | 1,606$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2159backed No | 8c | 1,591$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…22fabacked No | 14c | 1,517$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…814cbacked No | 7c | 1,493$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…2b8fbacked No | 4c | 1,435$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…bdf8backed No | 7c | 1,431$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…ac3dbacked No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…a4c8backed No | 7c | 1,384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 6c | 1,319$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…4fffbacked No | 9c | 1,307$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed No | 8c | 1,304$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc914…33ecbacked No | 8c | 1,261$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e266backed No | 5c | 1,249$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…c798backed No | 9c | 1,213$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…e382backed No | 9c | 1,200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…70a3backed No | 9c | 1,164$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b18dbacked No | 9c | 1,143$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 2c | 1,112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…c69cbacked No | 8c | 1,108$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…a81bbacked No | 9c | 1,107$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…8459backed No | 9c | 1,079$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…b733backed No | 6c | 1,048$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked No | 7c | 1,036$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…de12backed No | 10c | 1,022$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 10c | 1,017$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed No | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…c1babacked No | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…d3d3backed No | 5c | 999.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…47cebacked No | 9c | 986.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked No | 9c | 977.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…e61dbacked No | 6c | 960.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked No | 6c | 923.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…a598backed No | 1c | 912$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed No | 6c | 891.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked No | 6c | 883.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 7c | 881.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…1925backed No | 5c | 862.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…7de7backed No | 5c | 858.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd6…a992backed No | 6c | 851.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…d687backed No | 8c | 825$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…5e82backed No | 11c | 804.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…b971backed No | 9c | 792.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d1dfbacked No | 8c | 779.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 7c | 770.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…27e7backed No | 7c | 769.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…63c6backed No | 12c | 750.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 749.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b78…32bdbacked No | 5c | 748.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337a…6706backed No | 7c | 747.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 8c | 708.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed No | 7c | 684.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…b717backed No | 6c | 680.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f6…2232backed No | 11c | 642.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 8c | 635.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…4da5backed No | 6c | 602.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…36c8backed No | 7c | 596.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…ab80backed No | 10c | 595.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…fa38backed No | 10c | 580.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…cc6abacked No | 5c | 574$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…67e5backed No | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…a1ddbacked No | 9c | 568.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…60d2backed No | 9c | 531.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…37a2backed No | 9c | 528$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…0eccbacked No | 10c | 526.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…c7e1backed No | 7c | 524.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed No | 15c | 523.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…b8f8backed No | 6c | 515$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.