TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa3c0…d72d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.27
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.81
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Bulls vs. Suns: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.3%+$18.16
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$78.44
Sporting Kansas City vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+164.4%+$171.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$46.24
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump mention $boden before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cubabacked Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$86.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.2%+$23.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports (BO3)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.