TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,063 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa084…bb99backed Under51c16,395$8,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,033.712445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c8,564$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c7,513$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under51c5,504$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.9823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Over1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over54c3,706$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Over1c3,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c2,677$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.673,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under38c2,618$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.211,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c2,439$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c2,358$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.214,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c1,410$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.82,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over49c927.19$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.322143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over49c671.9$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2318650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c661.37$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.911,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c611.48$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over7c600$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c426.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba08…21f1backed Over58c424.09$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.971450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over49c417.57$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c390$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c373.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under42c368.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6335843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over23c357.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7413835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x671d…8118backed Over62c323.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11466645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c213.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.412,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c178.85$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.675,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over52c176.4$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.945445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c175.92$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.681,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over57c173.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.868850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…4c76backed Under44c171$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over50c171$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7439055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over58c163.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.051,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5d…e284backed Under47c154$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.172,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.530845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0a…7ca8backed Under42c144.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.891631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb96…34b9backed Under42c140.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57a…73ecbacked Under42c138.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.422356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf04…46cbbacked Under46c137$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c127.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.761,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over49c119.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.611,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over62c112.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over53c99.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9915156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under46c99.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over50c97.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8330151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.46056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c83.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.353,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Under45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.83141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over52c79.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over49c76.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0225655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over49c76.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.567159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd242…882fbacked Over56c60.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Over49c60.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d44…7b3cbacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d3e…a977backed Over56c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under48c56.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.520949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…eecfbacked Over56c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over49c53.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…a00fbacked Over56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under46c50.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.231,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over49c48.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.861650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c47.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.552,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6efb…01afbacked Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe102…67babacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c34.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over49c32.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.876553.8%35 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under40c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5888…e0f8backed Over56c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd73…74dcbacked Over56c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117a…1eccbacked Over55c28.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc826…3c91backed Over75c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under47c26.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9366143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2416…fc14backed Over56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4979…0ec7backed Over56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under44c25.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2252552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89a…8f63backed Over53c23.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over57c21.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over57c21.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over50c21.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde13…8dd5backed Over54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccd…1c5ebacked Over74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.814456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f82fbacked Over66c17.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d3…59a6backed Over59c17.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.