NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd412e5fcc13324c8fae00b76865dde8ef06d1871a0ea068a92336e24e0562d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,063 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 51c | 16,395$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,033.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 8,564$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 7,513$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 51c | 5,504$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.98 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Over | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 54c | 3,706$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Over | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 2,677$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 38c | 2,618$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.21 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 2,439$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 2,358$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 49c | 927.19$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 671.9$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 661.37$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.91 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 611.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 426.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Over | 58c | 424.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 417.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 373.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 42c | 368.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.63 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 23c | 357.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…8118backed Over | 62c | 323.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 213.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 178.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 52c | 176.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 175.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 57c | 173.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…4c76backed Under | 44c | 171$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 50c | 171$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 58c | 163.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5d…e284backed Under | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Under | 42c | 144.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Under | 42c | 140.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Under | 42c | 138.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…46cbbacked Under | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 127.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 119.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 50c | 97.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 83.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 79.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 49c | 76.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Over | 49c | 76.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…882fbacked Over | 56c | 60.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Over | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…7b3cbacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…a977backed Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 48c | 56.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…eecfbacked Over | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 49c | 53.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…a00fbacked Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 46c | 50.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 49c | 48.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 47.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…67babacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Over | 49c | 32.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…e0f8backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…74dcbacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…1eccbacked Over | 55c | 28.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…3c91backed Over | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 26.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…fc14backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4979…0ec7backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 44c | 25.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…8f63backed Over | 53c | 23.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over | 57c | 21.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…8dd5backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…1c5ebacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f82fbacked Over | 66c | 17.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Over | 59c | 17.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.