NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x014568dd8dad1fd43a05d20b34a84f86e0713737ee67f8742037ed89905d8f91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,959 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 7,768$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 41c | 7,345$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.21 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 50c | 5,028$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.31 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.63 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,966$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.44 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 52c | 3,174$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.52 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over | 56c | 2,871$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 2,681$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 2,162$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 1,818$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,727$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,526$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.52 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 48c | 1,247$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.85 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 928.69$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Over | 47c | 897$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 888.86$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.35 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 843.68$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 820.8$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 649.66$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 38c | 552.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.84 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 52c | 521$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.92 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 49c | 445$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 433.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 55c | 402.89$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 46c | 229.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 170.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…e2ecbacked Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…84c7backed Under | 49c | 158$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 147.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 55c | 133.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 131.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 118.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 58c | 103.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Over | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Under | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 41c | 81.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 53c | 78.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 78.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Over | 53c | 74.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 49c | 71.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0c…21d8backed Over | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…fa78backed Over | 51c | 59.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Under | 46c | 58.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 38c | 58.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 51.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 50.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…3871backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…e9f4backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5615backed Over | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 40.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 34c | 35.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…9bb8backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 33.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 48c | 32.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…1932backed Under | 51c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…4f7ebacked Over | 50c | 28.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 50c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 25.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Under | 76c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 24.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 24.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 23.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…f22fbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 53c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 20.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 73c | 19.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.