TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,959 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c7,768$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under41c7,345$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,327.211,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under50c5,028$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.318444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c5,000$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.6369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c4,966$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c3,847$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.441,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over52c3,174$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.5215849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over56c2,871$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.633941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c2,681$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,162$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c1,818$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.972,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,727$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.042,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c1,526$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.521,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under48c1,247$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.8513835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c1,008$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.161,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c928.69$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.162,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Over47c897$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.595040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c888.86$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.353,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c843.68$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c820.8$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c649.66$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under38c552.84$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.841,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over52c521$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9226553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Under49c445$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9510251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c433.74$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over55c402.89$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5916338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under48c291.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6739552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under46c229.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8235843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c170.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa477…e2ecbacked Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa768…84c7backed Under49c158$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c147.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under55c133.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c131.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.12,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under49c118.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over58c103.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.257843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.451,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Over55c93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.156852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under47c93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.298251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over41c81.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under53c78.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under45c78.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1614533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Over53c74.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.312842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Under49c71.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.675151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0c…21d8backed Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a01…fa78backed Over51c59.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Under46c58.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.639037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over38c58.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.371,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c51.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c50.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.771,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1679…3871backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4823950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd67…e9f4backed Over51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x293b…5615backed Over51c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c40.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2090357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.637549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.385,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over34c35.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2115663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc8…9bb8backed Over51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c33.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under48c32.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7452552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfa…1932backed Under51c30.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2440…4f7ebacked Over50c28.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.252138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under50c26.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.068937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over48c25.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Under76c25.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.077731.2%24 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c25.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over52c24.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c24.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c23.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d30…f22fbacked Over51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under53c21.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3323350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c20.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.271,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over73c19.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cd…e8d7backed Under70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.