NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c96ac2e8defedd5eaed4b9c68e40146b5a61d5af6752a1222242d840bb81b9f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $880,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $880,643 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Celtics	50c	424,908$211,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213,193.18	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks	50c	197,906$98,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,952.9	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks	50c	160,410$80,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80,204.8	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Celtics	50c	120,000$59,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,057.73	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks	50c	110,480$55,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,240.13	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Celtics	50c	40,100$20,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,050	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics	50c	30,805$15,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,286.52	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Mavericks	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Celtics	48c	18,601$8,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,610.91	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Mavericks	50c	16,000$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Mavericks	51c	15,686$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks	53c	15,238$8,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,132.59	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9497…8290backed Mavericks	51c	13,814$7,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,045	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Mavericks	52c	11,844$6,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,135	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics	45c	11,599$5,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,346.53	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Mavericks	51c	10,336$5,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,271.36	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Mavericks	50c	9,999$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.5	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks	50c	9,213$4,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,628.65	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Mavericks	51c	8,745$4,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,459.99	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics	43c	8,043$3,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,553.84	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	56c	7,999$4,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,501.77	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics	48c	7,871$3,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,084.99	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks	51c	6,435$3,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,258.06	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Mavericks	51c	6,431$3,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,280	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Mavericks	49c	6,379$3,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,155.59	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Mavericks	54c	5,560$3,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,002.4	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Celtics	46c	5,430$2,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,932.19	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks	53c	5,195$2,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,751.84	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Mavericks	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…19f8backed Celtics	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Mavericks	52c	4,814$2,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,503.23	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks	51c	4,751$2,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,419.53	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Mavericks	53c	4,750$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks	51c	4,165$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.26	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics	49c	4,107$2,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,094.69	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics	50c	4,038$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,038.01	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Mavericks	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Mavericks	51c	3,872$1,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,974.59	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics	49c	3,862$1,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.38	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks	50c	3,333$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.5	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Celtics	50c	3,040$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,520	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Celtics	50c	3,030$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks	50c	2,900$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks	53c	2,818$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Mavericks	51c	2,623$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.82	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Mavericks	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks	50c	2,497$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.28	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics	50c	2,426$1,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.79	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Mavericks	52c	2,014$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.28	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Mavericks	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bb…54ebbacked Celtics	49c	1,900$931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.99	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Celtics	48c	1,864$889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.72	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Celtics	51c	1,842$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.66	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Mavericks	52c	1,751$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.52	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks	50c	1,723$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.53	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd222…6441backed Mavericks	52c	1,700$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Mavericks	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks	50c	1,533$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.68	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Mavericks	53c	1,510$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks	59c	1,462$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.68	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics	26c	1,452$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.86	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Mavericks	51c	1,395$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.5	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks	51c	1,375$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.99	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Celtics	50c	1,350$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	282	45.4%128 W · 154 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Mavericks	52c	1,236$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.72	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Mavericks	74c	1,205$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.1	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics	49c	1,056$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.96	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics	48c	1,030$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.08	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Mavericks	52c	1,025$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.98	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Celtics	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Mavericks	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.9	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Mavericks	53c	999.68$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.83	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Mavericks	64c	999.56$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.72	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Mavericks	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks	51c	970.28$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.84	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics	40c	969.06$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.51	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Celtics	52c	960.15$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.15	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Mavericks	53c	932$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.96	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Celtics	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	53	69.8%37 W · 16 L	+7.9wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+29%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Celtics	47c	815$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.95	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks	51c	809$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.59	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa302…de94backed Mavericks	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks	54c	720$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.8	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics	48c	700.26$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.04	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked Celtics	50c	685.24$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.62	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.40per pick	35cpaid	+76%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks	50c	664.49$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.96	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Mavericks	50c	651.07$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.54	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa438…8605backed Celtics	51c	646.21$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.64	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	51c	643.98$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.25	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Celtics	40c	616.49$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.3	178	44.4%79 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc131…10acbacked Mavericks	51c	604.33$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.21	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Celtics	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Celtics (-15.5)this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Mavericks won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 16.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5No won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. CelticsCeltics won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event