TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,236 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c5,317$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over47c3,650$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.691,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c3,570$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c3,124$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.874,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c2,811$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over53c2,660$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.942,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c1,953$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under45c1,645$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.911,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c1,281$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over57c1,192$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.781,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over50c1,137$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.921,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c1,080$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.692,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over57c1,009$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57511159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c973.35$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over46c842.47$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5419958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under49c833.62$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.1613835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c700$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c640.47$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c608.42$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over54c594.39$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.551,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c551.67$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over22c459.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0914742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c441.85$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over43c341.32$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under37c329.68$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6814636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over39c305.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c287.79$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c250.42$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.272,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over48c240.06$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under47c216$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.821855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c210.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.613,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10626048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Under51c190.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.135152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over55c183.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8822347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b6…3d60backed Under70c167.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.764351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c66…d95cbacked Under47c164$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.358754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over52c159.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3930845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c148.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.052,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c132.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e6…5f63backed Under47c129$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Under30c119.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.126621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under34c106.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.181,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under72c105.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962524%6 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over55c80.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.771,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f8…390ebacked Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c76.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under35c67.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1315534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c64.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under66c64.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c62.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Over60c58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over75c57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8961939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under46c53.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.986437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over22c49.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under43c48.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.721,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c41…0277backed Over54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4811157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5828…9599backed Under47c42.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c42.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over46c41.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1827463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6727050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8229247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over29c38.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3511826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over50c37.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under42c37.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4914858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d35…84f4backed Over54c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5862…aeaebacked Over54c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…88dfbacked Over54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc6…7affbacked Under65c31.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed Under46c31.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.052927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8511761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over55c27.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8512331.7%39 W · 84 L-17.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x40bd…4c35backed Over76c26.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…ae31backed Over77c25.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700c…e0a6backed Over77c25.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6730%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under45c24.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab0…fcbdbacked Over64c24.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe6b…8aedbacked Over54c22.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecf…adb6backed Over54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6a…d38abacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over54c18.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1420140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcde9…fd96backed Over55c18.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over60c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under75c13.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3315663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68cd…e8d7backed Under80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.62450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.