NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeae6a2660ebac761fb85d92e52c6bc0d9a429b685516b5da6184744e60663bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,440,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,440,747 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Celtics | 52c | 175,416$90,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,615.08 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Celtics | 52c | 131,047$67,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,080.72 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Mavericks | 47c | 112,183$52,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,348.92 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 99,573$46,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,799.13 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics | 52c | 94,000$48,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,120.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 53c | 77,833$41,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,581.73 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Mavericks | 47c | 76,000$35,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,723.02 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 53c | 57,477$30,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,014.19 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Mavericks | 47c | 57,000$26,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,792.07 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Celtics | 53c | 54,971$28,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,045.47 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 52c | 47,968$24,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,110.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 53c | 47,334$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,334.36 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…619abacked Mavericks | 49c | 40,854$20,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,018.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 39,711$19,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,239.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 53c | 38,091$20,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,902.55 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 38,077$18,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,277 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…b2d4backed Mavericks | 48c | 35,908$17,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,269 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 49c | 33,590$16,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,406.66 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Celtics | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Mavericks | 47c | 23,750$11,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,162.48 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 48c | 20,191$9,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,691.58 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Mavericks | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600.02 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 47c | 19,642$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,352.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Mavericks | 51c | 16,655$8,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.14 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Mavericks | 48c | 16,652$7,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,992.85 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Mavericks | 48c | 14,583$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks | 48c | 11,145$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.87 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 48c | 11,074$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 10,321$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.75 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Celtics | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 9,600$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.9 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Mavericks | 48c | 9,584$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 48c | 9,375$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Mavericks | 48c | 8,913$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…c212backed Mavericks | 47c | 8,873$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,328$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.44 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 7,927$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.01 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Celtics | 49c | 7,429$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.11 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 6,963$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Mavericks | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 6,346$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.08 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…db78backed Mavericks | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Mavericks | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 6,230$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 51c | 6,084$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,898$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 53c | 5,640$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.87 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Mavericks | 47c | 5,440$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.8 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,437$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.6 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,352$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 53c | 4,550$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks | 47c | 4,408$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.68 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 52c | 3,756$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Celtics | 53c | 3,508$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.68 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Celtics | 53c | 3,430$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.19 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 3,364$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 3,207$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,504$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.96 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Celtics | 53c | 2,400$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Celtics | 52c | 2,306$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.2 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,106$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.81 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 52c | 2,100$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 47c | 2,041$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Celtics | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,937$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.4 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Celtics | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,806$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,509$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.32 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.9 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,476$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,343$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.01 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Celtics | 52c | 1,270$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.46 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Celtics | 53c | 1,105$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,091$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.87 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…3215backed Celtics | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Mavericks | 48c | 999.9$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Mavericks | 62c | 999$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.38 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Celtics | 53c | 967.52$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.39 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Mavericks | 52c | 907.19$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.37 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Mavericks | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.02 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mavericks | 46c | 836.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.02 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Mavericks | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.