TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00f5…7b42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.43
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$77.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$431.33
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$210
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$429.47
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$573.48
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$344.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$501.07
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$285.94
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$211
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$82.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$328
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$390.25
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+133.6%+$573.89
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$329.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$313.97
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$156.16
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+406.2%+$406.2
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.73
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$255.58
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.95
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$306.68
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.31
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.32
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$199.94
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.96
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,103.48
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$519.15
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$403.35
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$143.11
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$713.8
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$279.39
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$428.79
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$925.26
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$179.77
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,173.91
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.7%+$259.55
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$315.74
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+71%+$70.96
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+176.2%+$176.25
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$350.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$193.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$145.35
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$310.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$429.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$139.65
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+39.7%+$72.61
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.1%+$142.49
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,997.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$737.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$453.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,138.49
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$800
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$255.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$358.92
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.