TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$802,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,000,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked PARIVISION80c125,000$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION80c100,647$80,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,129.3542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed paiN20c92,237$18,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,447.4321051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked paiN20c59,521$11,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,904.1383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed paiN26c50,179$12,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,852.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN21c48,306$9,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,959.133,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked paiN20c30,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed PARIVISION78c25,150$19,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.2633960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed paiN1c16,810$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4814441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed paiN19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked paiN23c11,429$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.65635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed paiN1c10,399$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.656656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed paiN19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed paiN19c9,335$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.2311633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION80c8,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN8c7,815$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed paiN26c7,648$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.2224550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION80c6,673$5,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.041,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked paiN19c5,555$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.449739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed paiN30c5,264$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.42433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed paiN19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9506553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN15c5,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.981,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed paiN19c4,125$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.7510850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed paiN16c4,066$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.9724233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed paiN19c3,924$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.5137946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed paiN30c3,785$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.6112450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked paiN9c3,210$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed PARIVISION79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63031444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed paiN1c3,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.117617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed paiN17c2,984$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.2238037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed paiN20c2,949$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.88951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN1c2,911$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed paiN20c2,847$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked paiN18c2,656$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0616738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed paiN20c2,644$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.0942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed paiN20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…34d7backed PARIVISION76c2,372$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.393366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION72c2,136$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.741,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed paiN1c2,118$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed paiN19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked PARIVISION75c1,850$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45945162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed57…83f4backed PARIVISION69c1,693$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed PARIVISION77c1,575$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.254759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed PARIVISION74c1,561$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6522358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked PARIVISION79c1,530$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.315441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9933452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed PARIVISION80c1,300$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26039245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c70…2b77backed PARIVISION74c1,289$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.842445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked paiN19c1,270$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN27c1,243$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.947,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed PARIVISION77c1,209$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.824262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked paiN23c1,207$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.251,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked PARIVISION80c1,204$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.551,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed PARIVISION77c1,190$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0561837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed paiN19c1,155$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4524339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed paiN27c1,147$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.497749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c48…d569backed paiN2c1,046$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked PARIVISION77c1,042$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9113845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed paiN20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked paiN19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked paiN31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3104634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN20c994.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1995,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9322…0fb9backed paiN25c934.02$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2701…7d87backed paiN36c915.46$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked paiN11c862.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.251,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed paiN19c850$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.51,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fb…c40fbacked paiN23c816.59$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed PARIVISION73c812.36$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3435344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed PARIVISION78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17653850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN23c790.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.492,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1e29…5baebacked paiN13c778.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87d6…8076backed PARIVISION72c750.22$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION72c736.71$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4719342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed PARIVISION69c719.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7718347.5%87 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed paiN25c710.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.673441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed paiN20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed paiN19c699.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13353444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN23c698.06$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed PARIVISION79c686.51$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.519540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked PARIVISION74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.685457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed PARIVISION73c674.66$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.662653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION70c666$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed paiN20c650$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0a…262ebacked paiN8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed PARIVISION67c600$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked paiN4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed paiN35c597.42$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5865546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d99…faa2backed paiN20c590.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked paiN17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed paiN17c586.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed PARIVISION73c578.37$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.163132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed PARIVISION79c565.92$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9273658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked paiN39c538.46$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21038844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked PARIVISION64c523.96$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6641069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed PARIVISION78c520.42$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4934146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed PARIVISION79c508.69$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.826168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked PARIVISION78c500.5$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.517053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed paiN20c500.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2734235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.