TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN22c12,810$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.1835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN9c12,587$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed PARIVISION78c10,345$8,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.4412648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10081843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked paiN24c8,471$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed paiN1c6,172$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8447641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked PARIVISION79c6,000$4,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.015455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked paiN6c5,788$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2513756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked PARIVISION78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.173154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked paiN14c4,337$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.49349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee4…6d32backed paiN23c4,238$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.361811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN23c4,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.051,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed paiN17c3,890$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.886245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed paiN13c3,625$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6824550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION76c3,388$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.4333452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked paiN23c3,273$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked PARIVISION77c2,640$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.6922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN8c2,413$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.737,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked paiN8c2,238$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.55635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed paiN23c2,060$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.812742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed paiN21c1,950$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4422045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN12c1,910$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.425,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed PARIVISION77c1,749$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.355043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed paiN22c1,585$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.0197040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN16c1,568$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.786,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed paiN6c1,529$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6319342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN14c1,445$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.745,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked PARIVISION77c1,397$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.8815441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked PARIVISION78c1,336$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7261754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6a…dd64backed PARIVISION79c1,306$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.331471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed paiN17c1,184$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.186028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed paiN15c1,176$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3349850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed paiN21c999.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9912651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed paiN9c995$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6116349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed paiN16c934.78$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456536.9%24 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked paiN21c876.56$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN10c805.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.85,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked paiN21c799.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.997832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION75c749.99$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed PARIVISION76c722.34$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed PARIVISION78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.035158.8%30 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed paiN10c626.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed paiN6c600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed paiN16c550$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c5…d432backed PARIVISION78c513$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed PARIVISION78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11053850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed PARIVISION78c499.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11022358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked paiN24c496.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed paiN23c491.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11336554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed paiN12c475.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8824346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3635…1afdbacked paiN22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed PARIVISION79c451.62$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8412552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked PARIVISION79c440.37$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.519355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed PARIVISION79c420.14$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.235048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed PARIVISION79c418.92$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.976953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed paiN9c405.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9515851.9%82 W · 76 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked paiN9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed PARIVISION76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed PARIVISION79c391.35$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1823842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0d…e5b9backed PARIVISION79c390.06$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.062864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION78c388$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.191,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked PARIVISION78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.629561.1%58 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed paiN13c378.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.791,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN8c377.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.211,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed paiN22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7753444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed paiN10c337.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4538844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…34d7backed PARIVISION79c329.93$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.933366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked PARIVISION77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6949849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed paiN4c299.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfae…95ecbacked paiN11c283.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc086…8128backed paiN8c277.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.214748.3%71 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed paiN17c273.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0317538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4125070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed PARIVISION78c254.78$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.052347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+125.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed PARIVISION79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1612955%71 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0367…74e4backed PARIVISION79c251.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.896467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked paiN8c251.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked PARIVISION78c248.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed PARIVISION79c243.48$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1310354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked PARIVISION79c243.15$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2314971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed paiN9c240$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3624649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed paiN14c228.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.191,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed paiN21c226.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6436645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…806dbacked PARIVISION79c221.52$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.524957.1%28 W · 21 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed PARIVISION78c210.09$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2210753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed paiN12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.952750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed paiN21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed PARIVISION78c193.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5447165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed PARIVISION76c192.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.588645.3%39 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN22c188.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…8cf6backed paiN23c186.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.81520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed paiN7c178.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0542…7d64backed PARIVISION79c174.41$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked paiN10c156.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN10c154$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40ec…f6e4backed paiN7c150.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9570%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.