TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x084b…3de6backed paiN50c17,273$8,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,625.7524550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN42c15,916$6,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,757.6781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION37c12,181$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,681.3232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked PARIVISION50c10,982$5,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,529.596848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN44c8,809$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.713,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked paiN48c8,645$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.55635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed PARIVISION50c7,866$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9336634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed paiN57c6,935$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.61,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed paiN72c6,612$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.47054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked paiN68c4,389$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION49c3,721$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.266,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION56c3,379$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.7817042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION38c2,794$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.651,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed paiN52c2,295$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.334942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed paiN40c2,278$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.4717949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed paiN46c2,175$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9976836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed paiN49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005461.1%33 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed PARIVISION26c2,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed PARIVISION59c1,964$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.196245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked PARIVISION56c1,778$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.5218049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed PARIVISION55c1,756$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.742166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked PARIVISION58c1,706$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION48c1,700$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION59c1,680$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.841,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN47c1,678$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked paiN51c1,589$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.555444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked paiN50c1,482$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.026043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION44c1,451$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.643,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed PARIVISION49c1,432$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.8220942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked PARIVISION66c1,370$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.66256.5%35 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed paiN54c1,351$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3452750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed PARIVISION55c1,348$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.6855043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked PARIVISION52c1,301$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2326438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION56c1,245$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.7924346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked paiN50c1,240$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.2719540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed PARIVISION58c1,223$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6619048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked PARIVISION57c1,159$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92fa…4604backed PARIVISION61c1,105$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed paiN16c1,069$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0557322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed PARIVISION73c1,064$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.255248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed paiN46c1,064$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked paiN50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51019741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed paiN50c1,005$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed paiN40c991.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed paiN37c953.68$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2625352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b80…937bbacked PARIVISION55c910.47$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked paiN34c910.11$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed paiN29c865.6$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25121941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed paiN52c845.28$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed paiN75c836.45$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.3411643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed paiN49c821.32$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6117538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked paiN50c806$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed PARIVISION48c768.55$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.482646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION57c722.4$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.499340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61a5…caa6backed paiN50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed PARIVISION20c662.07$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed PARIVISION70c636$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.768564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION24c613.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3496545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed paiN12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7246345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION47c598.07$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed PARIVISION56c594.34$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5110354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…f764backed PARIVISION54c588.41$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.063754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed PARIVISION29c576.31$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1811655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9347…0fd9backed PARIVISION65c558.09$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…5baebacked paiN16c543.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8760%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION28c537.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.265,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed paiN70c515.07$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.136536.9%24 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN29c503.28$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.682,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION58c500$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21141645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed PARIVISION48c499.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9926451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed PARIVISION56c496.84$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked PARIVISION50c494.14$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.059353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION49c487.2$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.945,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION65c476.88$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed PARIVISION36c475.97$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.977749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed PARIVISION54c472.49$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1731452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed paiN49c460.43$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.524940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN47c429.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked PARIVISION58c429.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4760857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed paiN50c426$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21321947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed PARIVISION67c417.25$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.112050%10 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed PARIVISION46c406.7$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.628053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN27c405.05$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.311,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6b04backed PARIVISION47c403.71$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.972133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked PARIVISION57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17212256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked paiN51c393$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1319355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION53c378.66$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.24,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked PARIVISION55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6417050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked PARIVISION55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.649561.1%58 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed PARIVISION56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1412552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed paiN45c354.87$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.568645.3%39 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION57c351.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.947,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed PARIVISION57c351.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed PARIVISION52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16825251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed paiN32c345.03$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7538844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed paiN30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10227556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed paiN49c331.05$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5713743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed PARIVISION14c329.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1525440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed paiN48c311.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed paiN47c302.79$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7619342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.