TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6967…7f28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+232.2%+$464.5
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500.44
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+156%+$234.07
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+74.2%+$111.29
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Heat (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$100
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+91%+$181.92
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+433%+$253.01
Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$208.45
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.13
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$189.99
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.73
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.74
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$237.92
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$154.22
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+403.5%+$861.7
Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Draftkings Inc (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+118.4%+$236.86
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$153.99
Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Hilton Worldwide (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$108.92
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$123.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$95
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61.58
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$170
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$154.4
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$170
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+150%+$60
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+566.7%+$283.33
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+542.9%+$380
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$304.33
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+123.6%+$185.41
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+393.6%+$527.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+134.9%+$134.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.8
Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$600
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$170
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$133.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+50.4%+$75.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$104.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.