TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cae…a00abacked Over53c13,348$7,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,057.394465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c9,578$4,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c9,028$5,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under52c7,604$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.135850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c5,502$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c5,440$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,699$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6512…0367backed Over36c4,395$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c3,789$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.281,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c3,000$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.71,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under52c2,813$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.357150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8908…ea9abacked Over49c2,768$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…169cbacked Over36c2,494$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c3…bd47backed Under51c2,431$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over50c2,282$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1414654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over5c2,241$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0727937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.086756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x924f…fdbbbacked Over36c1,918$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ab1…9c6dbacked Under64c1,882$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,838$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9191,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c1,716$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.382,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,626$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.835,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under49c1,470$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbf…dd17backed Under64c1,222$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…ebb7backed Over36c1,164$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c25…506fbacked Over36c724.95$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over37c701.46$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.233,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedeb…7e07backed Under64c626.83$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c619$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.311,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.51,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over53c292.07$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5928751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c290.57$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c283.01$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.512,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c259.72$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ef…6b77backed Over50c232.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.361414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-66.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd04…6ddbbacked Under51c213$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under47c149.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2914742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c143.75$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.031,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0d…659dbacked Under51c124$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c119.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce5…3e52backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5136854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ef…e955backed Over49c91.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under50c87.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1432952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Over48c84.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4410652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under50c83.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0739756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under51c79.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under50c78.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1333653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9860…33b4backed Over49c78.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Over51c75.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.359764.9%63 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Over49c68.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c59.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under49c53.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.314257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1c…2c38backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0211448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over56c44.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under51c43.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2440849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under58c39.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Over51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.384156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebfe…bdd0backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0524330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a5…2862backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.