TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60ef…e955

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$42.41
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$57.09
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47.61
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$30.41
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$76.24
Lakers vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+77.3%+$123.97
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$153
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+62.5%+$50.02
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$294.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+65.6%+$45.89
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+52.4%+$48.04
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.65
US strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+259%+$74.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+149.7%+$306.86
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.61
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.25
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$41.52
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$373.33
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+373.6%+$202.07
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+108%+$342.26
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+154.5%+$77.26
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+166.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.