Music · resolved market
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb4d37ec67929c1bbffb16454c5bb8bf574ed367f52c54495a28f0717a1e005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 24c | 22,144$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,819.85 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 76c | 15,766$12,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,017.14 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 24c | 10,206$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750.79 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…e61abacked Yes | 80c | 8,875$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 26c | 7,115$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.79 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 21c | 5,990$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.24 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…ed01backed No | 26c | 4,866$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 18c | 4,216$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.08 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 71c | 3,229$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 27c | 2,382$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 73c | 2,212$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 28c | 2,125$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.46 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 72c | 2,097$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed No | 17c | 1,981$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.21 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 24c | 1,980$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.56 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 18c | 1,845$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…3368backed Yes | 73c | 1,771$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 15c | 1,553$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed No | 20c | 1,506$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 17c | 1,490$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.02 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 80c | 1,448$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad37…dbd6backed No | 15c | 1,427$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 22c | 1,369$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 19c | 1,356$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.38 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 27c | 1,133$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.28 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 22c | 1,100$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed No | 20c | 999.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.17 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 73c | 952$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 73c | 932$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 75c | 929.89$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 18c | 895.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 73c | 844$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 22c | 718.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.09 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…0c64backed Yes | 69c | 685$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 75c | 650$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a0a4backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…296ebacked No | 20c | 606.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 27c | 519.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 10c | 504$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.1 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…b97abacked Yes | 74c | 491.48$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 53c | 457.83$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 424.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.41 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 410.49$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…c5d0backed Yes | 79c | 410.38$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 19c | 405$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 25c | 392.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.59 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 16c | 386.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 16c | 372.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.77 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 352.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…8c62backed No | 21c | 351.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked No | 16c | 350$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed No | 27c | 346$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 339.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 68c | 309.09$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…1a7abacked Yes | 71c | 297.42$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked No | 17c | 290$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8070…8c6dbacked No | 28c | 290$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…7902backed Yes | 72c | 290$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 271.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 19c | 251.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 19c | 233.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…b9d1backed No | 24c | 225.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 15c | 224.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 79c | 212.51$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 12c | 206.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 67c | 205.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.56per pick | 27cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…4940backed No | 20c | 190.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +114%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Yes | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…e955backed No | 19c | 185.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked Yes | 77c | 181.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…0d5bbacked Yes | 74c | 179.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 74c | 176.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…773dbacked No | 18c | 175$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.60per pick | 28cpaid | +784.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…79d8backed No | 29c | 174.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked No | 17c | 172.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 75c | 167.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 71c | 167.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 70c | 166.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 17c | 162$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 78c | 156$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 15c | 152.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…6927backed No | 15c | 143.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed No | 30c | 141.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 23c | 138.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 80c | 137.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 137.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 26c | 131.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed Yes | 79c | 126.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…15ffbacked Yes | 75c | 123.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 77c | 120.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.