Music · resolved market
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7858a87a43476abdbe523cfe6ca9ca8a39f9cfe317736727185ebf180e82c84f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 41c | 7,292$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 50c | 5,418$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.19 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 58c | 4,674$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.71 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 47c | 4,498$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 14c | 4,012$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.62 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 62c | 3,595$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.53 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…80bebacked Yes | 33c | 3,218$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 52c | 2,558$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 38c | 2,358$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.05 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed Yes | 33c | 2,326$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.01 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked No | 49c | 2,199$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 30c | 1,362$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.46 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…d5cebacked Yes | 41c | 1,315$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 58c | 1,285$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.12 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 44c | 1,272$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 71c | 1,228$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed No | 56c | 1,225$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 43c | 1,221$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 40c | 1,195$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 69c | 1,177$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.85 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 62c | 1,166$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 38c | 1,166$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 46c | 1,147$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.82 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 63c | 1,110$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 44c | 1,013$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 73c | 1,000$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…142abacked No | 56c | 892.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 51c | 844.33$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.61 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked No | 58c | 824$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 58c | 766$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…cc65backed Yes | 36c | 748.65$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 54c | 699$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 56c | 686.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 80c | 657.3$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 62c | 645.57$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 42c | 635$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 42c | 606$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 41c | 598$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 31c | 582.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Yes | 42c | 581$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 35c | 530.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 57c | 500$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…65c8backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…f13bbacked No | 53c | 497.25$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 72c | 457.34$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 69c | 453$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 41c | 448.24$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…fec2backed No | 60c | 406.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 45c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 31c | 381.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Yes | 30c | 360.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 48c | 360.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…592fbacked Yes | 64c | 353.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Yes | 35c | 352.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 36c | 337$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 41c | 332.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed No | 62c | 324.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed Yes | 40c | 321.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked No | 56c | 305.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…c145backed Yes | 18c | 303.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 57c | 303.06$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…3ecebacked Yes | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…ddd8backed Yes | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…a3edbacked Yes | 32c | 257.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 44c | 257.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…6410backed No | 63c | 251.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…9da0backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13df…1e2bbacked No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 63c | 249$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 58c | 232$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…4f2abacked No | 74c | 231.83$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +316.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 37c | 230.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…9b23backed Yes | 44c | 225.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 26c | 205.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 53c | 202.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.56per pick | 27cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…1e60backed Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…d2c8backed No | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…1e7bbacked Yes | 22c | 187.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…b20fbacked No | 57c | 174.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 59c | 168.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…340fbacked No | 62c | 161.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 50c | 156.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…d721backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 70c | 149.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…a095backed Yes | 32c | 141.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 57c | 140.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…dec9backed Yes | 51c | 131.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d40…d74fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed No | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…4e1abacked No | 56c | 120.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…00e9backed Yes | 32c | 118.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.