Music · resolved market
Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eed9aa94c47569b9deb5733d075897d39a5c1aba33ce674ec0c1adb02237f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 65c | 167.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 144.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…37e2backed No | 80c | 136.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1291…a235backed No | 80c | 135.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…b65ebacked No | 80c | 135.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…5347backed No | 80c | 133.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…aea2backed No | 80c | 132.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…c0cdbacked No | 80c | 132.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…7568backed Yes | 20c | 130.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…a120backed No | 80c | 130.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…fb14backed Yes | 20c | 130.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…8266backed No | 80c | 130.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…3bbbbacked No | 80c | 130.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451c…8a4cbacked Yes | 20c | 129.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e8…ba32backed Yes | 20c | 129.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…73c6backed No | 80c | 128.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6d90backed Yes | 20c | 127.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…a2a3backed Yes | 20c | 127.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…82b4backed Yes | 20c | 127.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…71c4backed No | 80c | 126.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ad16backed No | 80c | 126.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…149fbacked Yes | 20c | 126.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…f907backed Yes | 20c | 125.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…3f12backed Yes | 20c | 125.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ff…7be1backed No | 80c | 125.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…a17cbacked Yes | 20c | 125.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…31fcbacked Yes | 20c | 125.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…abc6backed No | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6f…f8c5backed Yes | 20c | 125.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c20…811fbacked No | 80c | 124.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…5170backed Yes | 20c | 124.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…9ad4backed Yes | 20c | 124.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…55edbacked No | 80c | 124.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c2…81e1backed Yes | 20c | 123.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3965…f11dbacked No | 80c | 122.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efe…9bdabacked Yes | 20c | 122.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…8218backed No | 80c | 122.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…c462backed Yes | 20c | 122.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…daf2backed No | 80c | 122.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…52c2backed No | 80c | 122.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…c93dbacked Yes | 20c | 122.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e21…2dd9backed Yes | 20c | 122.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…3bdcbacked Yes | 20c | 121.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…fc6fbacked Yes | 20c | 121.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…3fa6backed No | 80c | 121.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…7ee5backed Yes | 20c | 120.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ff…a246backed No | 80c | 120.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…a5aabacked Yes | 20c | 120.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…d7c9backed Yes | 20c | 120.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…2c31backed Yes | 20c | 119.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…501bbacked No | 80c | 119.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…34bbbacked Yes | 20c | 119.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…73e1backed Yes | 20c | 119.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…fe5abacked Yes | 20c | 118.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…b930backed No | 80c | 117.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe69…0a6dbacked No | 80c | 116.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…fdb4backed No | 80c | 115.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929b…0571backed No | 80c | 114.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…52e9backed No | 80c | 113.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4b…e16cbacked No | 80c | 112.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.