Music · resolved market
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe01eac6338db445987d1ae11a094e1dd1c78720d550fec41d9fbb554d4b86fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe98…59b7backed Yes | 73c | 2,758$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 26c | 1,463$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.31 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 29c | 997.47$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.2 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 74c | 816.19$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…fec2backed No | 47c | 797.66$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 28c | 729.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.95 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Yes | 24c | 722$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 76c | 722$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 28c | 624.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes | 70c | 570$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 72c | 514.31$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 502.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.91 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…d062backed Yes | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 69c | 392$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.91 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 22c | 380$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 30c | 371.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 31c | 365.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 45c | 343.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…ce53backed No | 30c | 320.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 69c | 299.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…4f2abacked Yes | 74c | 297.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +316.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 72c | 275.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 30c | 270.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 34c | 266.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 263.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 30c | 204$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…9810backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…4872backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Yes | 56c | 169.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…496cbacked No | 30c | 158.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 70c | 157.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b31…9114backed Yes | 33c | 156.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 21c | 148.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ad…6ff6backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes | 73c | 137.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked No | 29c | 136.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 30c | 112.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked No | 70c | 111.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 104.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9218…2696backed No | 29c | 103.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 41c | 100.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 71c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…6278backed Yes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 70c | 96.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 54c | 94.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked No | 44c | 93.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 34c | 84.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed No | 34c | 73.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…af5abacked No | 37c | 73.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 58c | 72.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…77c8backed Yes | 68c | 72.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…9582backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…5ee3backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…4b4abacked No | 28c | 71.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 71c | 70.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01e…be0bbacked Yes | 73c | 67.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Yes | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…272dbacked Yes | 74c | 66.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 73c | 59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 33c | 57.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…4616backed No | 29c | 54.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +333.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 30c | 51.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…9682backed No | 48c | 50.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…3125backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…69b8backed Yes | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 31c | 47.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…1a7bbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 71c | 42.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…27d0backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…46f0backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…c3b4backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 64c | 37.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…c26abacked Yes | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked No | 29c | 35.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…9e1bbacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…5836backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…e837backed Yes | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…09b3backed Yes | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 53c | 27.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 75c | 27.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…73e0backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…8b7cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.