TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8fb…72cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Music, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Music at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4934.7%17 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.77
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+226.2%+$125
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$26.46
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33%+$3.47
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.02
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.64
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.12
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$30.04
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+247.4%+$59.76
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+973.5%+$208.17
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+132%+$35.73
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$60.06
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+252.5%+$301.32
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2875%21 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+53.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Music — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$29.18
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$14.07
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.9
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$72.98
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.04
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+508.7%+$292.5
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$20.24
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$96.49
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27%+$9.13
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.84
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$32
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.5
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$48.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$52.32
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.4
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.17
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$60.32
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$125.17
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.3
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.57
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$53.3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+180.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$52.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$7.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.