Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ffca8c24b3995f4a04387edbe0b449c6a94593654e8b617f24d18922713365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Wildcatsof BYU Cougars, Arizona Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked BYU Cougars | 12c | 59,336$7,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.31 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked BYU Cougars | 8c | 29,431$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.2 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed BYU Cougars | 12c | 13,939$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.67 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed BYU Cougars | 14c | 12,747$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.6 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…68a0backed BYU Cougars | 15c | 12,725$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed BYU Cougars | 23c | 11,858$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.26 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked BYU Cougars | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 77c | 9,820$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.66 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed BYU Cougars | 17c | 8,214$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.76 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed BYU Cougars | 9c | 3,940$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.97 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed BYU Cougars | 14c | 3,745$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed BYU Cougars | 14c | 3,417$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.29 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BYU Cougars | 4c | 3,141$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BYU Cougars | 13c | 2,722$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BYU Cougars | 10c | 2,698$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed BYU Cougars | 18c | 2,271$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed BYU Cougars | 21c | 2,201$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked BYU Cougars | 7c | 2,146$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Arizona Wildcats | 79c | 1,678$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.7 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked BYU Cougars | 14c | 1,379$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked BYU Cougars | 10c | 1,377$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed BYU Cougars | 23c | 1,276$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.69 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked BYU Cougars | 15c | 1,159$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed BYU Cougars | 13c | 1,139$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed BYU Cougars | 15c | 999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed BYU Cougars | 6c | 931.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed BYU Cougars | 8c | 759.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed BYU Cougars | 16c | 618.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked BYU Cougars | 14c | 600.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Wildcats | 77c | 584.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked BYU Cougars | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…a6edbacked BYU Cougars | 3c | 463.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…4eb3backed BYU Cougars | 5c | 364.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BYU Cougars | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed BYU Cougars | 4c | 340.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 310$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked BYU Cougars | 22c | 301.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked BYU Cougars | 12c | 299.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed BYU Cougars | 24c | 290$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BYU Cougars | 14c | 270.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed BYU Cougars | 12c | 205.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed BYU Cougars | 15c | 201.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked BYU Cougars | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked BYU Cougars | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked BYU Cougars | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked BYU Cougars | 11c | 199.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 78c | 174$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed BYU Cougars | 24c | 162.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…b036backed BYU Cougars | 12c | 153.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked BYU Cougars | 22c | 149.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed BYU Cougars | 12c | 142.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed BYU Cougars | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked BYU Cougars | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…7873backed BYU Cougars | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked BYU Cougars | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked BYU Cougars | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked BYU Cougars | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed BYU Cougars | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked BYU Cougars | 15c | 94.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Arizona Wildcats | 77c | 85.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed BYU Cougars | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…f1b6backed BYU Cougars | 15c | 79.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed BYU Cougars | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Arizona Wildcats | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BYU Cougars | 19c | 67.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed BYU Cougars | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked BYU Cougars | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed BYU Cougars | 18c | 55.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsthis page
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 162.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-10.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.