Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66288f7d87d5d7b668bd80bcd2ef3412d7516f63f5ebd8ca43e963a0ad862ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Arizona Wildcats, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 2,350$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 2,332$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.26 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 1,389$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.63 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 771.02$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 770.96$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 724$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.76 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 426.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 236$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 201.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Arizona Wildcats | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Arizona Wildcats | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 38.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 35.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 32.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 32.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 29.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Arizona Wildcats | 46c | 25.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BYU Cougars | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)this page
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 162.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-10.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.