Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ba52ea8096ae72980ae834f7b980e8eb2b5ae801f7ec5f016e01b6e44facd80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Arizona Wildcats, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 1,088$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Arizona Wildcats | 61c | 659.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 643.54$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 636.91$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 582.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Arizona Wildcats | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked BYU Cougars | 58c | 419.44$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 394.32$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Arizona Wildcats | 44c | 343.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 285.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed BYU Cougars | 61c | 245.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 229.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 36c | 226.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 206$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona Wildcats | 44c | 195.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BYU Cougars | 61c | 188.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 124.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 100.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Arizona Wildcats | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed BYU Cougars | 41c | 54.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 51.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed BYU Cougars | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 41.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arizona Wildcats | 41c | 40.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked BYU Cougars | 60c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 35.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed BYU Cougars | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arizona Wildcats | 46c | 26.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)this page
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 162.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-10.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.