TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$665,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$744,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Yes54c73,780$39,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,938.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed No43c52,487$22,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,569.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No46c35,000$16,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,10017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c32,833$13,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,228.564,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes54c27,778$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,777.781464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No46c21,264$9,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,781.346746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes54c20,543$11,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,449.893450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No46c17,736$8,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,112.9619840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Yes73c13,750$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked No47c12,816$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes63c11,820$7,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.0657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c11,458$6,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,178.452,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No46c11,100$5,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,105.941827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes53c10,472$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,921.9210450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed No47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5250…d73dbacked Yes66c9,407$6,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,195.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No46c9,200$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230.122544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c7,912$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.791,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes55c7,821$4,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.338246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No45c7,769$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.8513844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c7,172$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No47c6,218$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.4610539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddfc…bd59backed Yes54c6,111$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes56c5,631$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.772263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes54c4,700$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.953345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes56c4,643$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes50c4,364$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.641353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.869443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9747…961ebacked No46c3,922$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c3,759$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.061,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes69c3,605$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No46c3,200$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47211054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes73c3,148$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.76764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes53c3,140$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes75c3,066$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.596170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes75c3,066$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.594376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes75c3,066$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.599466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes75c3,066$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.57265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.937553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes68c2,944$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.557553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6213645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No23c2,807$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.8415051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes52c2,760$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.032060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x311e…b7a9backed Yes55c2,593$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c2,406$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.5649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1049457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10410558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes55c2,187$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.82650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No48c2,095$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.722638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe377…fc4bbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No46c1,999$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.5411154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…aae8backed No45c1,996$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes75c1,974$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.428170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes54c1,948$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.267656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No47c1,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes55c1,908$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.1283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes68c1,907$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No46c1,836$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.623941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes53c1,800$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.996431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes54c1,778$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.6919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes73c1,545$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.8914067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes75c1,533$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.296563.1%41 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No29c1,451$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2744…7e85backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes55c1,441$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.617560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No10c1,425$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5612823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes69c1,420$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No46c1,400$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64410760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No34c1,357$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.299330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes67c1,323$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8413658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No31c1,300$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.5692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No47c1,222$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.3415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes57c1,186$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.0112132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes53c1,130$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.16764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes69c1,122$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes54c1,073$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.3717159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c1,015$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.131,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43017859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43012757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4607358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.0wins+0.38per pick54cpaid+80.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Yes56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes54c999.97$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.996546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c995$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7525872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Yes62c973.83$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.84977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes54c954.76$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.214845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes75c935.29$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8219953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked Yes80c916.38$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes68c915.07$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.824158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.