TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x311e…b7a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$314.5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$720.44
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.97
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$332.52
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.33
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,541.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$289.1
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$647.96
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.24
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$544.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$182.26
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+30%+$187.94
Will Angola win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.26
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.68
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.63
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,896Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,896.15
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$128.52
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$123.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$128.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,166.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,418.15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$413.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$581.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$734.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.54
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.55
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$450.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$579.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$296.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.