Fifa International · resolved market
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f98e0348ce1f04b29d4e4393ff3e6e13761adec22c17da81542306b1bccf664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 22,193$11,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,365.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 56c | 13,215$7,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820.54 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9886…6856backed Yes | 47c | 8,888$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…80e6backed No | 50c | 8,250$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed No | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.88 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 6,831$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 5,728$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 29c | 5,159$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.12 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes | 49c | 5,147$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.24 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 4,869$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 4,063$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.14 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 50c | 3,577$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.36 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 3,521$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 57c | 3,487$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…19c7backed Yes | 52c | 3,456$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.93 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed Yes | 50c | 2,710$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…b7a9backed Yes | 60c | 2,563$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 2,414$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.87 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 61c | 2,387$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 51c | 2,334$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.77 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 2,100$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed No | 51c | 2,051$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.8 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked No | 50c | 2,028$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.97 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.94 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,767$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.89 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…5d9cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,674$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Yes | 49c | 1,625$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.18 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 53c | 1,583$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.09 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 1,557$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.03 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,510$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 1,448$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.54 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,328$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.34 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.9 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked No | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,165$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 50c | 1,140$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.48 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 56c | 1,078$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.89 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 47c | 1,075$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…d8cbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…c167backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 990.01$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 50c | 982.36$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.18 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 941.05$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.9 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed No | 49c | 904.55$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.28 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 51c | 898.28$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.08 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 51c | 874$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 49c | 859.96$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.48 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Yes | 49c | 858.57$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 53c | 838.52$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.44 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 798.58$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.05 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 55c | 775.94$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.54 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 41c | 733.33$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 706.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 50c | 683.62$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 643.53$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 52c | 631.91$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 597.77$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 58c | 580.09$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.39 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 10c | 578.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 51c | 571.9$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Yes | 56c | 561.59$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +239.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 51c | 520$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Yes | 50c | 508.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Yes | 48c | 502.91$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 48c | 488.36$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 38c | 483.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 49c | 482.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 49c | 458.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 38c | 449.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked No | 59c | 444$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.