TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes29c6,791$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,806.944531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No70c6,500$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.1712036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c6,416$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.612,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes30c3,380$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.285749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No42c3,045$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.1244435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes33c2,890$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.316833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c2,635$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes46c2,477$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.833,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No67c2,055$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.1520250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No50c1,935$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.571,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes38c1,692$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.4493542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,674$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.2976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c1,668$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c1,388$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked No38c1,373$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.793638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c1,278$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.365563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes36c990.64$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.889242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c875.67$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.6474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Yes29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.0717751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked No71c812$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.527044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c756.96$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.61,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes29c733.43$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.131,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes29c708.11$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.2826534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No71c678.09$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No72c607.26$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.8541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c603.86$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.5435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes34c577$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.823132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes34c510.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6642048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes28c499.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9923729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No72c498.41$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9614836.5%54 W · 94 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No71c468.38$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.558440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes30c436.78$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7814639.7%58 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes29c431.03$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.036839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c414.99$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.953,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c413.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.791,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.838933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes29c341.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3816937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes65c328.59$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9657541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c0…8eeebacked Yes27c320$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.62313%3 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No69c298$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.628451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No71c277$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.671,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b24…6a9cbacked Yes28c267.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8613145%59 W · 72 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No70c256.8$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7623255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c250.01$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5245039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No24c248.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.23243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c205.29$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.812,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes29c204.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.094953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Yes50c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1017644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702c…b1e6backed Yes77c194.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.578140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No50c180.79$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.674,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e91…91a4backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573050%15 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4111936.1%43 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes28c168.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4719120.9%40 W · 151 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6718128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes29c155.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1763229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53f…f9f0backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522552%13 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.663351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes67c145.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9377433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48f…be1cbacked Yes28c141.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6312250%61 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No19c139.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9819939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes34c127.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.056132.8%20 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c120.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6951429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes44c119.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4436634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes63c118$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.951458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No52c107.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.912,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1411217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4512433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Yes30c101.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3214458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511346%52 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d9e…4cf7backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda88…97d3backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7026246.9%123 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x209f…2337backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No69c99.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9910834.3%37 W · 71 L-19.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Yes68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No70c97.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.391,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes30c96.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.279443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No72c93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes30c92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5398439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6d…8b43backed Yes30c91.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.44934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes29c89.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6640145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes28c89.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4112451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c88.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843c…67a4backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2125018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff5…ce8fbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+105.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27741.6%32 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes29c83.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1670948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes30c77.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0417148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No67c73.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.374,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6abb…8f63backed Yes66c71.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435127.5%14 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3371backed No56c70.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.674515.6%7 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6759…a913backed No72c69.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No72c69.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No75c67.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.865651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.