TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7e0…c1bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$96.28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.07
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.33
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$32.78
Guatemala vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.4
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$46.62
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$45.55
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.55
Czechia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$20.82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$32.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$192.1
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$107.61
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$39.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$37.11
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$51.07
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.28
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$55
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.85
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$99.6
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$336.84
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$73.8
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$19.68
Will the Conservative Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$52.71
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$157.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$65.52
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$68.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.