TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes29c17,156$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No77c10,310$7,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.131,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c8,217$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.561,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c4,934$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c4,249$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes29c3,869$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1221533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c3,473$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c2,458$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.324,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c2,244$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0416150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c1,830$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.522,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes29c1,254$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.646839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c1,228$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c1,061$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22013351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c994.09$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked No73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1897044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c603.93$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7155045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes20c544.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes28c532.07$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.986053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c508.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked No72c488$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.642646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes28c462$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.368549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes27c434.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.721226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes28c429.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes28c417.89$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.013067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes15c388.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.745039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes30c366.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c336.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked No71c330$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.716937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No72c313.2$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.74940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes22c292.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1922731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4b…8d1fbacked Yes29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes23c255.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No71c242.15$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.221,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c241$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.65563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed No72c236.05$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.097659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No71c226.42$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.691,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No71c226.25$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c210.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.081,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes29c204.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.463229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes15c196.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.842,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes28c195$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7763035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c164.65$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1745947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012948.8%63 W · 66 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c130.06$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.133,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed No70c118.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.62962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c115.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6235549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No78c112.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6965651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes22c109$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9842048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c107.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.953,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48f…be1cbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012250%61 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes23c105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1512639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No72c105$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes24c102.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No76c100.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2228162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes25c98.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.637233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x264f…1b98backed No72c96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8813732.1%44 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No71c89.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.091,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No78c86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1728554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb6…c187backed No70c84.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.124479.5%35 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes28c78.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8817148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151659.7%16 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f83…0e8dbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.448256.1%46 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes24c68.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5323729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes28c68.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes18c65.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6813844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes28c60.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c58.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes29c56.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4641451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes27c54.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.357052.9%37 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa79d…6b36backed Yes26c53.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144146.3%19 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf854…8e03backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157341.1%30 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes28c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…0284backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No72c51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2843835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117630.1%53 W · 123 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1412546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No73c47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6912957.4%74 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed No72c41.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.528545.6%130 W · 155 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes28c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a60…2889backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29625%24 W · 72 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c8…c328backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264d…3ac0backed Yes32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No72c36.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0313865.2%90 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1130751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked No72c34.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5970948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.437057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No72c16.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.721,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9928256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed No71c15.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6426631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.