TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa79d…6b36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.66
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+552.9%+$82.93
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.19
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$25.95
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$44.19
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$25.24
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+440.8%+$95.3
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$11.14
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$10.19
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.21
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+293.8%+$79.31
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$45.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$28.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.29
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of June 1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 4 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$16.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.4wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$18.36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$127.86
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$17.18
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$34.37
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$9.33
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirebacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.16
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,422.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+1,422.4%+$156.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.