TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Gentle Mates, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,357,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,606,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,357,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 904 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed Gentle Mates45c158,482$70,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,889.595238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed G255c142,888$78,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,305.9611655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed G266c105,978$70,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,977.314441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Gentle Mates34c99,891$33,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,962.8539249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked G271c68,900$49,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,796.712965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed G265c68,675$44,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,036.0922049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ac…3d7ebacked G267c44,887$29,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,006.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Gentle Mates34c30,318$10,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,452.0713633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Gentle Mates35c27,457$9,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,61023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Gentle Mates34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8007147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked G269c19,158$13,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,031.732748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed G241c16,727$6,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,905.0667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Gentle Mates62c13,877$8,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,591.3823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Gentle Mates47c12,914$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,035.8435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Gentle Mates34c12,240$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,15483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gentle Mates33c12,000$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,019.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Gentle Mates39c11,167$4,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.3675652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked G256c10,225$5,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,470.121030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked G255c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9919757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gentle Mates36c8,321$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.9678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Gentle Mates35c8,237$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88325751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Gentle Mates29c8,058$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.793930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9c…95d1backed G262c7,826$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Gentle Mates46c7,682$3,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,565.812040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Gentle Mates35c7,406$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.51,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked G261c7,205$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.931553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Gentle Mates39c6,962$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.529858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed Gentle Mates36c6,846$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.589023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed G271c6,842$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.938564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed G265c6,656$4,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.068563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed G262c6,503$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.334136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates36c6,089$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.772,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Gentle Mates31c5,931$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.7185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed G266c5,916$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.297256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked G254c5,837$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.4413043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed G261c5,750$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G260c5,436$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.626,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked G262c5,375$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.3514954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked G253c5,362$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.231,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G266c5,148$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.985,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Gentle Mates33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Gentle Mates38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Gentle Mates39c4,907$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.6523848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked G264c4,538$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.7763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed Gentle Mates46c4,536$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Gentle Mates33c4,500$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Gentle Mates32c4,494$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.1819645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed G257c4,284$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.866656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Gentle Mates33c4,232$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.626147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Gentle Mates58c4,194$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.1623249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed G265c4,096$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.1622142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…5dc1backed G261c4,014$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Gentle Mates38c4,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed G255c3,918$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.5146843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf98…735fbacked G278c3,805$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gentle Mates55c3,699$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.3184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed Gentle Mates37c3,678$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.023661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked Gentle Mates0c3,376$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Gentle Mates34c3,372$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Gentle Mates39c3,327$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.724944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked G267c3,311$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.62774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Gentle Mates40c3,308$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed G264c3,220$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.6415141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Gentle Mates30c3,119$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.696634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G254c3,085$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.7187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed G254c3,076$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.972035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7857…bab6backed Gentle Mates33c3,053$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.965160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Gentle Mates34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9918341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Gentle Mates33c2,908$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.810047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gentle Mates38c2,900$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.893,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates34c2,802$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.21,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed G264c2,796$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.533056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Gentle Mates35c2,746$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96135236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Gentle Mates29c2,675$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.8857641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Gentle Mates35c2,672$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.77425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Gentle Mates40c2,671$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.371,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked G240c2,637$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.255750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Gentle Mates34c2,600$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.971,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G261c2,549$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.785,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked G259c2,536$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.6322534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Gentle Mates46c2,515$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.2432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Gentle Mates33c2,500$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8308933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Gentle Mates34c2,453$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.0275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked G262c2,427$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.5426037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd06…3e8bbacked G273c2,421$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates34c2,317$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked G263c2,235$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.9610950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed G266c2,226$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Gentle Mates56c2,211$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.733759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Gentle Mates63c2,173$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.923842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed G254c2,148$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.815050%25 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…f2c7backed G267c2,121$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc469…0067backed Gentle Mates33c2,104$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed G255c2,098$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.9610252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Gentle Mates36c2,029$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed G262c2,025$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.5822761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed G266c2,012$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.146243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Gentle Mates38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.991,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x890b…97bebacked Gentle Mates38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…57c7backed G266c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.