CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1311e76aec6b52a976d3c98ebe6e6c41c7303f978adc07f68857430cea643c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Under | 54c | 5,974$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.34 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 45c | 3,960$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.85 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 1,885$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.92 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 78c | 1,568$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.63 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 56c | 857.82$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 25c | 645.24$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 44c | 639.97$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 70c | 628.66$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 522.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.42 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Over | 53c | 512$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 46c | 495.17$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 482.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Under | 42c | 453.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 19c | 364.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Over | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 40c | 246.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 27c | 229.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa790…b73cbacked Over | 62c | 181.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Under | 38c | 178.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 39c | 170.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 38c | 164.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 44c | 159.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 56c | 125.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 34c | 102.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 18c | 92.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 46c | 92.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 46c | 91.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 45c | 89.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 38c | 51.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…0db2backed Over | 46c | 51.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Over | 77c | 35.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 65c | 33.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 68c | 32.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked Over | 47c | 29.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 68c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…dbdcbacked Under | 52c | 19.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…31f4backed Over | 72c | 18.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…9484backed Over | 80c | 16.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.