TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec6d…0db2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.58
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.44
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.71
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$28.37
Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.64
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.76
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.35
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.92
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$26.24
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.02
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$15.91
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Abacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.61
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$16.78
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$16.91
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.65
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+118%+$27.78
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Metizport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-52.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.75
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$36.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.17
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.97
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$21.63
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.79
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$5.76
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$17.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$32.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.