Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b06bcd9b1102190b63b8c9b18f05374a161dcb9904ae73e65bc443bcdc282c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof MIBR LOS, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Team Heretics | 63c | 885.1$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed MIBR LOS | 37c | 525.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…eab7backed MIBR LOS | 39c | 515.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR LOS | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 498.56$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Heretics | 64c | 475$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed MIBR LOS | 37c | 404.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed MIBR LOS | 36c | 308.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Heretics | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…30c2backed MIBR LOS | 33c | 297.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked MIBR LOS | 37c | 280$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR LOS | 36c | 268.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked MIBR LOS | 38c | 263.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed MIBR LOS | 36c | 241.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Team Heretics | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 197.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Team Heretics | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked MIBR LOS | 37c | 66.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…4009backed MIBR LOS | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…778abacked MIBR LOS | 37c | 58.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 56.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Heretics | 64c | 55.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Heretics | 62c | 50.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Team Heretics | 63c | 42.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed MIBR LOS | 39c | 41.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…0db2backed MIBR LOS | 39c | 41.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Team Heretics | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Team Heretics | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…19ddbacked Team Heretics | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 24.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ae1fbacked Team Heretics | 72c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.