TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Hereticsof MIBR LOS, Team Heretics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Heretics41c24,116$9,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,164.1328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Team Heretics38c21,155$8,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,116.1934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR LOS62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,40052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked MIBR LOS59c14,683$8,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,603.417948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Heretics42c11,697$4,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,729.7226650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MIBR LOS59c6,905$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed MIBR LOS63c6,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7802544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics62c4,501$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.354751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed MIBR LOS46c3,943$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.748145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics48c3,344$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.531,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed MIBR LOS63c2,600$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6384158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a90…7e68backed MIBR LOS62c2,580$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Heretics38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.9839042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed MIBR LOS61c2,371$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.5919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Heretics38c2,106$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.6425660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked MIBR LOS63c2,105$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3333050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed MIBR LOS63c2,068$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.923966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR LOS35c2,027$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.2623644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR LOS62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24033153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3202…6a46backed Team Heretics38c1,950$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Heretics38c1,926$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.329340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Heretics38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11641734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR LOS43c1,616$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.1170043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Heretics38c1,509$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.576643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Team Heretics38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.933834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Team Heretics70c1,226$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.042751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed MIBR LOS62c1,200$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7448640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MIBR LOS31c1,164$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5435142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed MIBR LOS63c1,094$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.065855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked MIBR LOS67c1,042$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Team Heretics39c1,021$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.516848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Team Heretics37c1,016$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2215843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Heretics38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed MIBR LOS56c1,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55543059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Team Heretics38c999.84$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.932245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics38c999$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.3855152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR LOS43c971.55$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.081,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec7…03efbacked MIBR LOS62c967.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…6625backed MIBR LOS63c941.84$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.362740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked MIBR LOS7c911$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5320138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed MIBR LOS60c908.2$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5497252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f0…2a8dbacked MIBR LOS35c892.86$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Team Heretics39c872.05$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.3622344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Heretics37c852.93$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed MIBR LOS63c840.91$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Team Heretics38c832.48$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6715038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Team Heretics38c806.62$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.11977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+66.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Heretics39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2329733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked MIBR LOS21c734.95$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Team Heretics39c695.38$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked MIBR LOS38c665.79$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531963.2%12 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed MIBR LOS43c655.02$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7123732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Heretics49c651$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7114750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR LOS43c638.04$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2646347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Team Heretics38c631.89$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.773860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Heretics48c564.55$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5514850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR LOS56c537.86$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed MIBR LOS62c520.99$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.015459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked MIBR LOS62c516.13$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32013455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Team Heretics36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed MIBR LOS62c499.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR LOS62c499.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9936648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed MIBR LOS63c499.19$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.4919546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR LOS23c481.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.271,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed MIBR LOS38c463.45$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics38c451.18$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.731,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked MIBR LOS53c450$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24025444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Team Heretics46c434.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.612147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked MIBR LOS48c419.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5362856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed MIBR LOS62c408.83$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4725556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed MIBR LOS63c403.17$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked MIBR LOS63c391.07$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.371384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR LOS47c380.02$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3777744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MIBR LOS51c373.13$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics58c346.68$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed MIBR LOS62c340$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.88934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Team Heretics44c331.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7621457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed MIBR LOS63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c90…2f6bbacked MIBR LOS40c315.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…d98cbacked MIBR LOS63c309.71$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed MIBR LOS29c298$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.968839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Team Heretics40c289.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.995156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85a9…4e21backed MIBR LOS52c286.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Team Heretics41c272.8$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.810346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Team Heretics37c269.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0919655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed MIBR LOS38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR LOS60c260$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9242140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Team Heretics46c259.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4513043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed MIBR LOS7c259.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42a9…9252backed Team Heretics57c258$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed MIBR LOS11c257.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Heretics39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4125843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d1…6516backed MIBR LOS63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf7…9907backed Team Heretics61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.53928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed MIBR LOS61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.57656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked Team Heretics41c241.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.791747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Heretics78c239.01$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed MIBR LOS52c235$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.316033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Heretics33c228.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.371,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.