Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeea468626d332b7ecfbd78455d6080d918bfb74e9da469a571951821795623a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Hereticsof MIBR LOS, Team Heretics
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,278 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Heretics	43c	6,487$2,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,671.9	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR LOS	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR LOS	54c	2,143$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.23	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed MIBR LOS	51c	2,005$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.78	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed MIBR LOS	64c	1,252$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed MIBR LOS	62c	1,111$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.93	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Team Heretics	40c	1,027$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.71	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Heretics	50c	1,016$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.7	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Heretics	45c	978.44$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.62	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR LOS	36c	823.22$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.54	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked MIBR LOS	50c	674.38$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.19	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Heretics	36c	600$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Heretics	38c	600$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics	56c	546.23$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.94	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc35b…8dddbacked Team Heretics	70c	520.16$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.05	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Team Heretics	39c	517.71$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.44	103	46.6%48 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked MIBR LOS	58c	505$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.9	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Team Heretics	42c	500$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf7…9907backed MIBR LOS	8c	450$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked MIBR LOS	33c	447.76$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.64	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Heretics	39c	390.86$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.7	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x738b…7579backed Team Heretics	70c	345.75$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.87	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics	41c	327.69$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.34	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed MIBR LOS	62c	300$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Team Heretics	38c	292.37$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.68	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR LOS	22c	291.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.23	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR LOS	55c	250$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.5	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MIBR LOS	34c	211.14$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.59	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed MIBR LOS	57c	209.06$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Team Heretics	38c	207.5$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.65	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0289…cb50backed MIBR LOS	42c	205$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.1	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed MIBR LOS	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	147	37.4%55 W · 92 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR LOS	46c	196.46$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.38	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR LOS	51c	196.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	421	40.4%170 W · 251 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Team Heretics	51c	194.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.42	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed MIBR LOS	51c	192$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.34	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Heretics	43c	182$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.74	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MIBR LOS	43c	168.8$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.17	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics	50c	165.62$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.81	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked MIBR LOS	63c	163.73$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.1	128	56.3%72 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR LOS	38c	153.34$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.53	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Heretics	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-4.6wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Team Heretics	36c	126.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.27	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked MIBR LOS	62c	106.15$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.84	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed MIBR LOS	53c	105.51$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.62	148	50.7%75 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked MIBR LOS	49c	98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Team Heretics	37c	93.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.62	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a9…9252backed MIBR LOS	60c	90$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed35…bd18backed MIBR LOS	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4a…234bbacked Team Heretics	40c	80$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.4	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR LOS	26c	77.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2261…ffd1backed Team Heretics	43c	69.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.77	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Team Heretics	52c	61.92$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Team Heretics	72c	55.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.24	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	66cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Heretics	37c	53.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.74	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed MIBR LOS	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed MIBR LOS	58c	49.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.81	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed Team Heretics	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed MIBR LOS	52c	43.75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbc…102fbacked Team Heretics	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed MIBR LOS	61c	40.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	115	64.3%74 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Team Heretics	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…b1d4backed MIBR LOS	63c	37.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	61cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Team Heretics	42c	35.72$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.72	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccf…bb7ebacked MIBR LOS	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Heretics	50c	30.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.01	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed MIBR LOS	62c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Team Heretics	48c	21.4$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Team Heretics	66c	21.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.22	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aff…fb48backed Team Heretics	78c	20.61$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.61	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Team Heretics	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Team Heretics won
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DTeam Heretics won
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event