TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$375,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp36c54,121$19,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,646.4424145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7bf…7033backed NRG57c22,251$12,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,659.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG75c21,898$16,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,552.7152455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG69c21,655$14,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,681.4229255.8%163 W · 129 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Karmine Corp30c20,858$6,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,345.0612155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Karmine Corp42c20,353$8,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,598.384643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Karmine Corp16c7,273$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.854630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked NRG67c7,197$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.1326650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked NRG67c7,174$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.6328942.9%124 W · 165 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp15c6,876$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.5151344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Karmine Corp33c6,547$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.556462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed NRG57c6,526$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.475058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG69c6,113$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.3733153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NRG70c4,916$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.4993649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2276…efd0backed NRG68c4,596$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.723177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Karmine Corp30c3,895$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.4826838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp7c3,550$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0540945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f6…f078backed NRG68c3,516$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Karmine Corp40c3,266$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked NRG66c3,060$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf7…9907backed Karmine Corp8c3,058$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.433928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Karmine Corp32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96015431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp30c2,999$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.2742035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked NRG72c2,808$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.144751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Karmine Corp37c2,681$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Karmine Corp32c2,612$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.7911450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed NRG58c2,557$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.96746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp17c2,314$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.461,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp22c2,249$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7532445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Karmine Corp31c2,222$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8233348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NRG66c2,170$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.0735142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Karmine Corp3c2,050$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.343432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed NRG67c2,045$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.7815843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed NRG60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp28c2,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9922446.4%104 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG77c1,969$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.491,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Karmine Corp35c1,961$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.297252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked NRG69c1,915$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.376647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Karmine Corp31c1,712$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.733834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed NRG71c1,556$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3119847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Karmine Corp32c1,534$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.722245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NRG68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48017052.4%89 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked NRG58c1,498$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.285552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Karmine Corp32c1,496$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.771353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b1…4625backed NRG72c1,473$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed NRG68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.724273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG62c1,466$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.3762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Karmine Corp15c1,450$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.391560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Karmine Corp42c1,417$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.124742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Karmine Corp42c1,407$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97d1…6516backed NRG69c1,400$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4341546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed Karmine Corp22c1,379$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Karmine Corp18c1,309$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5521136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed NRG65c1,217$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9546746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed NRG68c1,200$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3848842%37 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked NRG69c1,181$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.863860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed NRG68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4725761.1%157 W · 100 L+22.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Karmine Corp32c1,166$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3786848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NRG57c1,160$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.797953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed NRG66c1,107$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3532462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed NRG57c1,060$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed NRG61c1,038$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.7823732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed Karmine Corp5c1,021$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Karmine Corp42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Karmine Corp31c972.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1315137.7%57 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked NRG71c964.26$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.066442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked NRG61c942.25$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+89.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed NRG67c924.06$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.654858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Karmine Corp26c890$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.925444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Karmine Corp34c888.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked NRG58c888$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp43c887.99$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.8455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked NRG57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.194845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked NRG57c860.65$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.085048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Karmine Corp19c853.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6830835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Karmine Corp26c849.13$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.579040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Karmine Corp16c844.67$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358020%16 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Karmine Corp19c807.05$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4126932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG66c781.47$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.675142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp30c766.59$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9815038%57 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed NRG57c749.98$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4910842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Karmine Corp36c729.72$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NRG67c729.52$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3621457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG61c726.31$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.860423%139 W · 465 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Karmine Corp18c723.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9489344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Karmine Corp17c713.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.512143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Karmine Corp29c707$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0313843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG67c701.48$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4878344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed NRG67c700.23$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0825453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NRG72c673.88$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.761,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed NRG66c645.99$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.991560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738b…7579backed NRG79c630.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.312763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed NRG67c610$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NRG67c600$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20153742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp29c589.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6760454%326 W · 278 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Karmine Corp17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked NRG70c580$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1749151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG65c566.08$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5670543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp32c562.59$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Karmine Corp32c555$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.619140.3%77 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.