TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87f6…f078

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+54%+$46.97
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.64
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$552.54
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$378.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$197.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$168
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$692.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$811.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$642.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.69
Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Andrej Nedicbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$280
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.8
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarinibacked Andrea Collarini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.5
Oeiras 4: Zdenek Kolar vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$161.12
Tunis: Max Houkes vs Inaki Montesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.84
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$225.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$579.5
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$245.7
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$209.25
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$159.5
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+96.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.06
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$805.75
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+203%+$603
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$74.25
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$42.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$167.19
Tennessee Tech vs. Kentuckybacked Tennessee Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$1,110.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,356.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$920.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.