UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10cfcfbeed586667683a38ab57e0f0b69548a05a87a798f786ceac4ce05d1390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwadyof Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady, Shem Rock
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $723,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,669 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 384,014$175,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,983.67 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Shem Rock | 54c | 110,000$59,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,400 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Shem Rock | 53c | 49,029$26,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,002.59 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Shem Rock | 54c | 46,000$24,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,840 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Shem Rock | 54c | 44,600$24,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,197 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Shem Rock | 54c | 33,300$17,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,982 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 52c | 31,808$16,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,423.58 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 20,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,899.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Shem Rock | 55c | 19,980$10,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,989 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Shem Rock | 55c | 17,208$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Shem Rock | 49c | 16,417$8,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,108.68 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Shem Rock | 49c | 15,916$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.07 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Shem Rock | 48c | 15,634$7,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,504.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Shem Rock | 52c | 13,999$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296.46 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 12,884$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,916.78 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Shem Rock | 55c | 12,406$6,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,823.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Shem Rock | 55c | 11,100$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Shem Rock | 53c | 10,998$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.82 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Shem Rock | 54c | 9,071$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.63 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Shem Rock | 54c | 8,978$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 8,673$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.67 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Shem Rock | 54c | 8,424$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.77 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Shem Rock | 55c | 7,332$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.62 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…b8f1backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 49c | 7,067$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Shem Rock | 51c | 6,900$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.61 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Shem Rock | 54c | 6,660$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Shem Rock | 56c | 6,463$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.44 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 78c | 5,895$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.11 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shem Rock | 48c | 5,000$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.14 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Shem Rock | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Shem Rock | 55c | 4,880$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 4,841$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 4,424$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 4,409$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.47 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Shem Rock | 54c | 4,340$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 3,931$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.74 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 47c | 3,598$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.19 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Shem Rock | 58c | 3,107$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b371backed Shem Rock | 54c | 3,024$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shem Rock | 54c | 2,807$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Shem Rock | 54c | 2,520$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 63c | 2,497$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.69 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 48c | 2,370$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shem Rock | 22c | 2,236$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…2189backed Shem Rock | 55c | 2,038$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Shem Rock | 51c | 2,000$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Shem Rock | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Shem Rock | 54c | 1,963$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Shem Rock | 29c | 1,848$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.92 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Shem Rock | 13c | 1,828$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Shem Rock | 55c | 1,802$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…0bfcbacked Shem Rock | 55c | 1,779$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…0c51backed Shem Rock | 54c | 1,771$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 77c | 1,755$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.15 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…f078backed Shem Rock | 55c | 1,687$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Shem Rock | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 52c | 1,555$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.56 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Shem Rock | 39c | 1,533$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 52c | 1,515$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.13 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Shem Rock | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Shem Rock | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…af8bbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 47c | 1,433$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…b983backed Shem Rock | 54c | 1,420$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Shem Rock | 47c | 1,403$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 68c | 1,387$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.74 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Shem Rock | 16c | 1,374$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.84 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Shem Rock | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 49c | 1,326$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.26 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Shem Rock | 55c | 1,325$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 49c | 1,319$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.55 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 47c | 1,274$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.54 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 1,229$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.33 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…a1c9backed Shem Rock | 54c | 1,163$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 65c | 1,125$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.82 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Shem Rock | 41c | 1,105$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Shem Rock | 55c | 1,094$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.95 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Shem Rock | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Shem Rock | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 978$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shem Rock | 54c | 972.55$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 50c | 954.56$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 50c | 952$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Shem Rock | 53c | 836.34$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.23 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Shem Rock | 54c | 833$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 48c | 826.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 65c | 771.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…d234backed Shem Rock | 55c | 741.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Shem Rock | 53c | 730$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 42c | 714.19$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.51 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Shem Rock | 55c | 690.91$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | 46c | 682.53$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Shem Rock | 55c | 678$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.