TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2025…d234

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,108.15
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,329.98
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$793.69
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$506.32
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$352.61
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$54.85
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.77
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$880.21
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.6
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$683.28
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$338.52
Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$140.39
Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$552
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$165.6
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$154.8
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$71.92
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$273.2
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37%+$110.7
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$234.58
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$79.9
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$169.65
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$187.34
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$164.5
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$56.61
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$51.48
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$75.9
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$140.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$714.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.